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Dao
VERIFIEDfull tape

Bryen Dao

142
verified strikes (swept)
1
fights on file
1
verified fights
0
machine fights
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01

The tape in one line

the strongest measured read on file — receipts attached

when hit
41%of incoming strikes get an answer within 2s

When strikes come at Dao, he fires back within 2 seconds 41% of the time. That's 1.6× what his own pace would produce by chance. He usually answers with a left punch (47% of his responses).

Confidence interval [34%, 49%] · lift interval [1.1×, 2.4×] · n = 177 opponent strikes · 73 responses
chance
1.6× vs chance · interval [1.1×, 2.4×]
single bout — observed vs Anthony Romero only
left punch47% (34)
right punch47% (34)
other7% (5)
n = 73
Watch the Film Study▾
vs Anthony Romero0:291:201:281:281:34

greyed: no playable video registered

standup-scoped, in-round hand-log events (single annotator; ~11–15% estimated strike undercount — every level is a floor)

response = this fighter's next strike within 2.0s of the opponent's strike (two-sided stream, single-opponent context)

lift = observed rate ÷ a circular-shift null that keeps this fighter's own pace and burst structure but scrambles timing vs the opponent

no stance asset — response classes are physical left/right

romero_dao: census-grade review (2524/2551 in-scope judged); counts are lower bounds — 27 unreviewed candidates may include real strikes

engine provenance ▸
source handlog · 177 eventsbootstrap-2000 rate CI; circular-shift null ×2000 for lift (seeded per cell·fight)pre-registered gate: n ≥ 25 for shares/conditionals
02

Signature tendencies

the strongest measured patterns in his verified tape — nothing editorial, receipts on every line

bursts34% of his output comes in bursts — 0.9× what his pace alone would produce. Statistically, that's within what his pace alone would produce.n = 128 strikes
paceHis output climbs round over round: 9.5 → 2.2 → 12.1 strikes per minute.n = 128 strikes
absorbsThe strike that lands on him most: the straight — 44 of the 70 he absorbed.n = 70 landed strikes
04

Output by round

pooled pace — read the trend, not single-round precision

events per minute by round↑ output rises by round
9.5/minR159 strikes2.2/minR213 strikes12.1/minR356 strikesR3 peak

Dao throws more as the fight goes on: 9.5 strikes a minute in round 1, up to 12.1 by round 3.

n = 128 strikes across 3 rounds

05

When he gets hit · bursts

what he does when he gets hit, and how his output clusters — each measured against what his own pace would produce by chance

bursts
34%of his output arrives in bursts

34% of Dao's output comes in bursts — strikes less than 1 second apart. That's 0.9× what his own pace would produce by chance. Statistically, though, that's within what his pace alone would produce.

Confidence interval [26%, 42%] · lift interval [0.7×, 1.2×] · n = 128 strikes
chance
0.9× vs chance · interval [0.7×, 1.2×]
single bout — observed vs Anthony Romero onlynot distinguishable from pace alone
vs Anthony Romero34% (median gap 2.5s)
Watch the Film Study▾
vs Anthony Romero1:281:291:401:402:28

greyed: no playable video registered

standup-scoped, in-round hand-log events (single annotator; ~11–15% estimated strike undercount — every level is a floor)

burst = inter-strike interval < 1.0s

lift = observed burst share ÷ a null that keeps this fighter's event COUNT but redistributes onsets uniformly over his active in-round time

romero_dao: census-grade review (2524/2551 in-scope judged); counts are lower bounds — 27 unreviewed candidates may include real strikes

engine provenance ▸
source handlog · 128 eventsbootstrap-2000 seeded per cellpre-registered gate: n ≥ 25 for shares/conditionals