Miles Robinson
Machine estimate. These numbers come from the strike detector at its balanced operating point — not a human. Expect a ~9–15% undercount, and counts are standup-scoped where segments exist. No conditional tells or defensive reads are shown here — those need a verified sweep. How we measure →
Machine estimate — vs Harris
FIRST READMachine estimate: 84% of Robinson's detected output comes in bursts — strikes less than 1 second apart.
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greyed: no playable video registered · times index the registered upload
Machine estimate — NOT human-verified. Counts are the strike detector accepted at its balanced operating point (punch pcal ≥ 0.437, kick ≥ 0.540); a high-recall surfacer, not a log.
Undercount ~9–15%: the hand log itself misses an estimated ~8.8% of strikes and machine recall is separate and unverified here — every count is a floor.
Balanced operating point was derived on the pre-CatBoost pcal scale; the crowned model shifted that scale, so these counts are provisional pending recalibration.
standup-scoped: in-round events inside annotated standup spans only
burst = inter-strike interval < 1.0s
engine provenance ▸
Machine estimate: Robinson throws 35% of his detected strikes from the lead side.
Watch the Film Study▾
Machine estimate — NOT human-verified. Counts are the strike detector accepted at its balanced operating point (punch pcal ≥ 0.437, kick ≥ 0.540); a high-recall surfacer, not a log.
Undercount ~9–15%: the hand log itself misses an estimated ~8.8% of strikes and machine recall is separate and unverified here — every count is a floor.
Balanced operating point was derived on the pre-CatBoost pcal scale; the crowned model shifted that scale, so these counts are provisional pending recalibration.
standup-scoped: in-round events inside annotated standup spans only
engine provenance ▸
Machine estimate: 84% of the strikes the detector saw from Robinson were punches; the other 16% were kicks.
Watch the Film Study▾
greyed: no playable video registered · times index the registered upload
Machine estimate — NOT human-verified. Counts are the strike detector accepted at its balanced operating point (punch pcal ≥ 0.437, kick ≥ 0.540); a high-recall surfacer, not a log.
Undercount ~9–15%: the hand log itself misses an estimated ~8.8% of strikes and machine recall is separate and unverified here — every count is a floor.
Balanced operating point was derived on the pre-CatBoost pcal scale; the crowned model shifted that scale, so these counts are provisional pending recalibration.
standup-scoped: in-round events inside annotated standup spans only
engine provenance ▸
Machine estimate: the detector shows Robinson throwing more as the fight goes on — 1.7 strikes a minute in round 1, 2.0 in round 3.
Watch the Film Study▾
greyed: no playable video registered · times index the registered upload
Machine estimate — NOT human-verified. Counts are the strike detector accepted at its balanced operating point (punch pcal ≥ 0.437, kick ≥ 0.540); a high-recall surfacer, not a log.
Undercount ~9–15%: the hand log itself misses an estimated ~8.8% of strikes and machine recall is separate and unverified here — every count is a floor.
Balanced operating point was derived on the pre-CatBoost pcal scale; the crowned model shifted that scale, so these counts are provisional pending recalibration.
standup-scoped: in-round events inside annotated standup spans only
per-round counts sit on a Poisson floor of ±18–25% — read trends, not precision
engine provenance ▸
Machine estimate: Robinson averaged 21.7 strikes per minute of standup time vs Harris.
Watch the Film Study▾
greyed: no playable video registered · times index the registered upload
Machine estimate — NOT human-verified. Counts are the strike detector accepted at its balanced operating point (punch pcal ≥ 0.437, kick ≥ 0.540); a high-recall surfacer, not a log.
Undercount ~9–15%: the hand log itself misses an estimated ~8.8% of strikes and machine recall is separate and unverified here — every count is a floor.
Balanced operating point was derived on the pre-CatBoost pcal scale; the crowned model shifted that scale, so these counts are provisional pending recalibration.
standup-scoped: in-round events inside annotated standup spans only
rate is per standup-minute (exposure-normalized)
engine provenance ▸
The detector counted 31 strikes vs Harris — 26 punches, 5 kicks. Machine estimate, not human-verified.
Watch the Film Study▾
greyed: no playable video registered · times index the registered upload
Machine estimate — NOT human-verified. Counts are the strike detector accepted at its balanced operating point (punch pcal ≥ 0.437, kick ≥ 0.540); a high-recall surfacer, not a log.
Undercount ~9–15%: the hand log itself misses an estimated ~8.8% of strikes and machine recall is separate and unverified here — every count is a floor.
Balanced operating point was derived on the pre-CatBoost pcal scale; the crowned model shifted that scale, so these counts are provisional pending recalibration.
standup-scoped: in-round events inside annotated standup spans only
engine provenance ▸
guard telemetry coverage too thin under the frozen validity rules for this fighter
unlock: a defense-telemetry upgrade is pre-registered — these cells re-grade automatically after the next data pass
6 human-verified strikes (swept) in this fight — 5 kicks, 1 punch.
Watch the Film Study▾
tap a time — replays in-page, slowed · times index the registered upload
standup-scoped, in-round hand-log events (single annotator; ~11–15% estimated strike undercount — every level is a floor)
no round/segment scoping available for this fight — raw fight-window counts only
engine provenance ▸
Verified verdict profile
Operator verdict-ledger evidence, kept separate from temporal tendencies. Complete reviews may support totals and gated rates; partial reviews remain labeled samples; reviews below the coverage floor expose only their withholding reason.
The three frozen verdict gates
- Per-fight mix shares require n ≥ 25 reviewed real attempts; below it, counts only.
- Complete-fight pooled mix shares and own rates require n ≥ 25 real attempts.
- Defense clean-absorb rates require a complete review and n ≥ 25 opponent real attempts.
- Partial reviews are non-random samples: counts and eligible sample mixes are not fight totals or accuracy.
- Physical side means left/right, not lead/rear stance. Jab/cross for swept strikes is stance-INFERRED from pose: a windowed ankle-vote at the strike instant when decisive (94.3% vs hand-log truth), else the fight-level lead; strikes where both abstain stay "straight" rather than guess.
- A single reviewer produced these verdicts; unresolved attribution/validity verdicts are a floor on missingness.
Coverage & provenance
adjudication_only
machine estimate — no human labels yet; descriptive stats only
Not measurable from broadcast
the single-feed footage can’t support these — they are not a locked upgrade, they simply aren’t recoverable. Saying so is the product.
Landed / grazed / missed
outcome carries ~no machine signal at this capture and is unreliable even by eye from a single broadcast feed
Fine punch subtype (jab / cross / hook)
capped by 72% annotator self-agreement and the single-feed capture wall
Clinch & ground interior
the corpus is standup-scoped — a single broadcast feed can't resolve grappling exchanges
Feint intent
intent-without-contact is not recoverable from broadcast video
Known limits
- single-annotator ground truth; measured undercount ~8.8% on the deepest-swept fight — global estimate 11–15%; every count is a floor, not an exaggeration
- tendency numbers are standup-scoped and in-round; clinch/ground exchanges are not measured
- stance (lead/rear) is a per-fight constant from a pose asset; a mid-fight stance switch would mislabel lead/rear symmetrically
- per-round counts sit on a Poisson floor of roughly ±18–25%; product language is trends and conditionals, never single-round precision
Every fight on this fighter's file — the event, the result, and how deep the verified data goes.
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