Ilia Topuria
This is a real pack — Ilia Topuria, 3 verified fights + 1 machine estimate. Released; yours stays private until your bout.
Signature tendencies
The reads, with receipts
Punches make up 89% of what Topuria throws; the other 11% is kicks and everything else.
Watch the Film Study▾
tap a time — replays in-page, slowed · times index the registered upload
standup-scoped, in-round hand-log events (single annotator; ~11–15% estimated strike undercount — every level is a floor)
engine provenance ▸
When strikes come at Topuria, he fires back within 2 seconds 28% of the time. That's 1.1× what his own pace would produce by chance. He usually answers with a lead punch (49% of his responses).
Watch the Film Study▾
tap a time — replays in-page, slowed · times index the registered upload
standup-scoped, in-round hand-log events (single annotator; ~11–15% estimated strike undercount — every level is a floor)
response = this fighter's next strike within 2.0s of the opponent's strike (two-sided stream, single-opponent context)
lift = observed rate ÷ a circular-shift null that keeps this fighter's own pace and burst structure but scrambles timing vs the opponent
engine provenance ▸
44% of Topuria's output comes in bursts — strikes less than 1 second apart. That's 1.4× what his own pace would produce by chance.
Watch the Film Study▾
tap a time — replays in-page, slowed · times index the registered upload
standup-scoped, in-round hand-log events (single annotator; ~11–15% estimated strike undercount — every level is a floor)
burst = inter-strike interval < 1.0s
lift = observed burst share ÷ a null that keeps this fighter's event COUNT but redistributes onsets uniformly over his active in-round time
engine provenance ▸
Topuria throws more as the fight goes on: 8.0 strikes a minute in round 1, up to 19.6 by round 3.
Watch the Film Study▾
tap a time — replays in-page, slowed · times index the registered upload
standup-scoped, in-round hand-log events (single annotator; ~11–15% estimated strike undercount — every level is a floor)
per-round counts sit on a Poisson floor of roughly ±18–25% — read trends, not single-round precision
engine provenance ▸
What follows what
each row shows what he throws next after that strike — deeper red means it happens more often
lead punch33%[20%,48%]65%[50%,78%]0%[0%,0%]2%[0%,7%]46
After a lead punch, Topuria's next strike is a rear punch — 65% of the time.
tap a time — replays in-page, slowed · times index the registered upload
rear punch91%[83%,100%]9%[0%,17%]0%[0%,0%]0%[0%,0%]35
After a rear punch, Topuria's next strike is a lead punch — 91% of the time.
tap a time — replays in-page, slowed · times index the registered upload
jab36%[16%,56%]60%[40%,80%]0%[0%,0%]4%[0%,12%]25
After a jab, Topuria's next strike is a rear punch — 60% of the time.
tap a time — replays in-page, slowed · times index the registered upload
cross89%[79%,100%]11%[0%,21%]0%[0%,0%]0%[0%,0%]28
After a cross, Topuria's next strike is a lead punch — 89% of the time.
tap a time — replays in-page, slowed · times index the registered upload
Sequences
Topuria's go-to 2-strike combination is cross → hook — he threw it 23 times, 27% of his 2-strike sequences.
Watch the Film Study▾
tap a time — replays in-page, slowed · times index the registered upload
Topuria's go-to 3-strike combination is hook → cross → hook — he threw it 5 times, 12% of his 3-strike sequences.
Watch the Film Study▾
tap a time — replays in-page, slowed · times index the registered upload
Every number on this sheet carries n, a confidence interval, and timestamp receipts to the registered upload. Single-annotator ground truth; limits disclosed inline. Pack pack-v3 — replay-tested, SHA-pinned.